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Uncertainty-Aware Surrogate Modeling of High-Throughput DFT Data for Rapid Materials Screening
The integration of surrogate modeling with high-throughput density functional theory (DFT) calculations has transformed materials discovery by enabling rapid screening of vast chemical spaces to predict properties. However, the inherent uncertainties in both DFT computations and surrogate approximations provide conceptual challenges to the reliability of screening results. This paper offers a conceptual reinterpretation of uncertainty in the screening of surrogate-driven materials and emphasizes how uncertainty reshapes the logic of discovery processes. We synthesize recent literature to highlight tensions between computational efficiency and predictive fidelity, where surrogate models approximate DFT data but introduce epistemic uncertainties from model simplifications and aleatory uncertainties from stochastic elements in ab initio simulations. By reframing uncertainty not merely as an error to minimize but as an informative signal guiding decision confidence, we argue for a paradigm in which uncertainty informs adaptive screening strategies, altering discovery trajectories toward more robust material identifications. This conceptual change emphasizes the need to integrate awareness of uncertainty into interpretive structures, fostering a nuanced understanding of how uncertainties propagate through screening paradigms. Ultimately, this perspective invites a critical examination of uncertainty’s role in bridging AI and DFT, promoting theoretical integration that enhances the interpretability and trustworthiness of AI-assisted materials discovery without relying on prescriptive frameworks.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Materials Science
Original Research | Open access | 18 January 2024 | Article: 40
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